2011/1/25

Cao Renchao: road to Wolf _ in using GPS against the stock market analysis

Categories: Cao Renchao 2000 dot com stock bubble, through cuts, tax cuts and the US downturn since 2001, United States economy from October 2002 to October 2007, another one in real estate prices lead consumer frenzy. Rising property prices raised the wealth effect (Americans feel rich and increasing consumption). Since 2008, the Americans entered a period of long-term reduction of consumption, for babies born after the war has entered the age of retirement, face property prices have fallen, stock markets are, naturally reducing consumption. Although United States Enterprise Fund is adequate, but mainly used for acquisitions and consolidation purposes, helpless employment rates rose. Launched the quantitative easing policy in March 2009 as a result of the economic boom, what and how much longer can support it? Chinese manufacturing industry "Gold 30 years" from 1978 to 2007. In October 2007, falling asset prices surge from Western countries, triggering fears of deflation in Western countries, adverse effects on China's exports. In November 2008, the Chinese Government announced the launch of RMB 4 trillion stimulus package, supports China's GDP high growth, but in March 2009 United States caused by introduction of quantitative easing in 2009 the global raw material prices surge. Dollar exchange rate fell further push up world prices of raw materials, China in November 2010 CPI increase reached 5.1%, it is estimated that in 2011, rising to a peak in the first half, the Chinese Government policy has been changed to combat inflation since August 2009, began in the second half of the year is expected to bear fruit. Deflation stagflation far-reaching peaked in 2011 to pay attention to the three signals of Western countries continue to face the threat of deflation or stagflation, and emerging markets have to face inflationary pressures are investors today are faced with a dilemma. Long term, the stock market works closely with economic relations, but in the short term both irrelevant. For example: since March 2009 reflect QE is the upside of the power of non-United States economic prospects; euro exchange rate stabilisation is reflected from the $ 750 billion euro Fund support; because investors in the people's Bank of China's stock markets rise fear entered a period of slow cattle. In 2011, the Hong Kong Hang Seng index CAPE standards aren't cheap, but it is not too expensive (Hsi CAPE 22 times more than double what "you"). Level look for bargains and investments in today's stock market value, such as in a haystack. Today, this is value investing by followers of confusion because the Bargains are hard toFind today. When the stock market peaked? please watch out three signals: first, the 52-week high of stock less is a great city before the weaker signals. Second, the ascending and descending lines (A/Dline) begin to come down, is the second largest city before the weaker signals. Third, the waves below the waves, is confirmed after the big urban peak signal. Views above many people do not fully understand, the "EJFQ signals" can help you. If you Click into the "indicators" column, we can see strong stocks index and vulnerable stocks index "1". Each time the strong stocks index beyond the weak stocks indices, says Outlook good each vulnerable sector index beyond the strong stocks indices, it means that Outlook should be taken only light. Take advantage of this combination strength index to analyze future, compared himself to count the number of how many shares of 52-week high is not only better? last November, weak stock index beyond the strong stocks index representing the city entered a period of turn pale. As regards the second is to use the lift line to analyze future. Believe that many people today have no lift index, if you have a "EJFQ signals", just Click into the "index", "width of the letter market" column, we can see that MACD 3 antenna line 18 days "Figure 2" and 10 days lines MACD line 50 days "Figure 3" (both meet the analysis can complement). Before the market peaked, these short term moving average moving average MACD stock fewer, for example, last year peaked in October you will probably know big city, and afterwards also proves that the Hang Seng index peaked in November 8 fall. As a wave over wave analysis are used to confirm that the city has officially changed, so no new ways to help are very clear, with EJFQ signals "pointer" column of the help, I believe your analytical skills will be greatly enhanced. 2009 was a year of belonging to blue chip, stock selection is not much more difficult 2010 is the world of second-line stocks, stock selection has difficulties in 2011 which type to buy shares? difficulty is even greater. 2009 stock selection taken over tasks were handed over to the other members of the Economic Journal, such as "stocks of the day", "Lu Wen Xiong" and "EJFQ site". In future we can also take advantage of the "EJFQ signals" to help the stock selection, which shares the green light to? open red which shares? big up to escape before the crash "heartbeat" monitor for instance such as short-term trade Geely automobile (175) on October 8, 2009, the green light to "Figure 4", issued a buy signal for the day stock price is $ 2.31, December 17, 2009, a red light, issued a sell signal stock on that day was $ 4.22, such that the investment profit reached 82.68%. March 4, 2010 issued a buy signal, day stock price $ 3.88, April 16 issued a sell signal stock price $ 3.63 on the day, the trading losses of 6.44%. July 26, 2010 issued a buy signal, price $ 2.59, August 31, issued a sell signal stock price $ 2.55, 1.54% this time losses. Issued on September 22, 2010, buy signals, stock price $ 3.25, November 12, issued a sell signal stock price $ 4.64, profitable 42.77%. Trading signals within four times a year, make a lot of money on two occasions, two modest losses. Another example is the use of long term "signal" trade Hong Kong exchanges and clearing (388), "Figure 5", May 14, 2007, Hong Kong exchanges and clearing stock price $ 88.75 buy on the day, January 15, 2008, sold the day shares 184.9, profitable 108.34%. Issued on April 3, 2009, buy signals, stock price $ 83.85, February 1, 2010 issued a sell signal stock price $ 132.3, profitable 57.78%. August 4, 2010, buy signals, stock price-132.$ 3, August 26, 2010 issued a sell signal stock price $ 121.9, losses of 7.79%, September 8, 2010, buy signals, stock price $ 131.2, as of January 20, 2011, the stock price is $ 183.1, provisional profit of 39.56%, still does not sell "signals". HKEx shares issued only four signals three times to earn a lot of money, a slight loss. As for the performance of the other shares, journal, handed over to the other colleagues as a model, you can check with them. "EJFQ signals" the downside is that when the stock price falls on the narrow time of rampant or, most error-prone, but losses is unlikely. It's hard to escape before the share price rise or fall sharply "EJFQ signals" monitoring. Make money each time to earn a lot, losing corrosion has very little. For example, move (941) over the past two years share price falls on the narrow, so (long-term and short-term) signals a terrible mess "in figures 6, 7." Another small disadvantage is that the turnover of shares, such as the new media (708) turnover less error rate very high "Figure 8" third International (329) are also sold for sparse and there was an error "9". That is, do not use "EJFQ signals" to analyze a narrow picking up shares and the shares sold for sparse. There is no perfect tool in the world, "EJFQ sign" nature is no exception. According to Japan's experience: QE cannot bring a healthy economic environment, just as eating pain-pill treatment, can make the pain disappear temporarily, his condition has not really improved. The United States a fwrongful death attorneys floridainancial tsunami, do you think it is a cold or a persistent ailment? in the past faced with this situation, most retail investors do not know what to do with, with the "EJFQ sign" help, you can also learn large outside stock market speculation in the ranks of the city. Benefits of this system is systematic trend investment law, computers, and retail operations itself. However, the tool is, after all, tools like Ode to spring insect can be Bruce Lee, may also be confused in the future, final result is to see how deep is your Kung Fu. What: ", and you reap", "EJFQ signals" is intended to help you be successful weapon and the ultimate success, there are many other factors. Simple technical analysis accurately value investment law of decrease of individuals is not considered useless, this is a basic Kung Fu, as for trend analysis, 70 's, I also studied. Analyzing, the Explorer Bar Charts forProfit the trends written by JohnMagee, has become almost every beginner started, anyone who just spent three weeks to learn. As for the moving average is written by CurtissDahl in July 1973, the economic journal founded by myself to the Hong Kong public position. Others, such as "point", "superior and inferior" (RelativeStrength), also in Hong Kong is accepted. As for the "Candlestick Chart", it was in 1973, I was first to Japan a named "national commodities futures company" one of the Japanese back in, the 80 's have openly promote after tidying up. OBV is 70, on behalf of the other authors of the journal promotional, technical analysis today in Hong Kong can be said to have been known to stage, whereas foreign hedge funds have already developed new ideas, such as quantum theory and its application in terms of investment, that is investments compared to the chaos of the world, everything is ambiguous, are neither "good" nor "light", and often small flaws. Investment in hedge funds are found on the market of small flaws will spare no effort to attack, to impose the maximum pressure in the shortest time, little flaws become significantly cut brings staggering profits to fund. The most famous such as George Soros and Paulson, who are expert in this area, using CDO to attack the crisis, reaping huge profits of billions of dollars. Retail investors do not understand how these funds was also regarded as international speculators by Governments to limit. Right attitude is to learn other people's non-restricted theories of others disadvantages to attack your system, society will progress. With the ever-changing investment market, new investment theory are produced, for example from the moving average to play out "cross of death" and "golden cross", verify that the VIX index investment market panic and Hindenburg ominous, but the analysis tool cannot be completely accurate, I believe everyone will understand. If you are still stuck in the value investment method or on a simple technical analysis, you think you can make a fortune on the stock market, that is obviously wrong. In 2002, for example, I open the RSI of the "upstream" and "down" after the investment law, more and more people understand and use this method, the accuracy of this method dropped. Believe "EJFQ signals" publication, and over time its accuracy will decrease. Innovation is the cause of social progress, we should not stand still, stop social progress. Interest rates have fallen to near "zero" situation, not only to accept hedge funds in the market in recent years a large number of PE Fund (private-equityfunds) has been set up, rich people want to look for return on investment markets, the investment on the market a large Wolf, ramp attempts to find and eat small animals eat. If your investment skills remains at a general level, you may have become a small rabbit or lamb, easy to be eaten by a wild Wolf. Venture capital fund for the year 2000 dot com stocks had suffered huge losses in the battle, after ten years and through the healing period after successful investment shares, such as Apple, Tencent, many have been recovered, and once again become a tiger in the investment market, is eyeing, optional fertilizer and eaten. Investment not only in the market this year a large number of Wild Wolves, Tigers, but also a large number of wild beasts, a typical "Billy bathgate" market has already formed in Hong Kong. Investment to make use of modern information technology as a modern investors should learn the clock out, like a helicopter after loading be on night duty sight glass or even infantry tank car, have combat capabilities during the night. European bond market contraction phase, the United States the QE2, China interest rate cycles, investors can use technology to help analyze, find opportunities, this is the purpose of organizing this seminar. No matter what type of investor you are, try the newer modern analytical techniques, and clock out. If it was considered boring 2011 investment market (dullanddry), you may loseA lot of opportunities to make money. If you only take Help Desk Tracking Softwarethe modernization of weapons of World War II went to war, in the face of Patriot missiles, cruise missiles and Stealth fighters, GPS navigation systems projectile attacks will only suffer from Speck, is the best proof of the Persian Gulf war. A new generation of investors is the clock type, namely, the use of a reliable system to assist the analysis of various types of data, then you can make the right investment decisions. Attack directives issued under GPS navigation systems, to improve their accuracy. Requires retail investors own a GPS system is not possible, as you use mobile phone GPS instead of their own to build GPS systems. The Economic Journal has invested heavily in this area and establish stock recovery potential of next-generation systems, signals and validated by City University professors as a third party system, results have been submitted to the journal, their reliability proof. Any system not hundred percent accurate, and even shells are still 5% errors of GPS navigation systems, not to mention the investment market. This system can greatly enhance your hit ratio, on the dullanddry market in 2011, you may wish to try using tapplication business card credithis system to assist investment analysis to see if valid. The computer will never replace the human brain, the final choice depends on your independent thinking. Thank you! EJFQ journal, this article for the author to attend forum speech of the next chapter, articles published on January 21. * All charts data as of January 20, 2011 the closing chart data source: Hong Kong Economic Journal Research Department

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